Hi all. I have been given permission by local weather forecaster Terry Scholey, to publish his weather forecasts. He is based in Radcliffe On Trent and his forecasts are very accurate. I publish his latest here for your information, and thank him again for his permission to use them:
TERRY SCHOLEY WEATHER SERVICE
Mid-August to mid-September 2012.
General Comments:
Pulses of warm, sub-tropical air continue to come up from the south bringing mixed, humid weather. Progressively however, there should be a trend for winds to turn into a north-easterly quarter, although how this manifests itself remains a little uncertain at present. As a result, confidence is somewhat lower.
The August prediction remains good, despite strange displacements and a weakening of a sometimes non-existent ‘Jet Stream’ in the vicinity of our shores. Similar circumstances in the past follow the solar cycle quite well, with comparable years showing anticyclones over Greenland into early autumn. This is uncommon as the mean pressure at this time of year over the huge island, is usually at its lowest.
More detailed summaries: Events should normally be within a day or so.
August 16th to 19th: Unsettled and windy at first in the north and west, with occasional rain or showers. Very warm or hot and humid in the east and south, where finer spells could lift temperatures to 28 to 30C. It will not be entirely settled though, with the risk of locally sharp showers and perhaps thunderstorms. There will be humid ‘sticky’ nights when temperatures will not fall below 13 to 19C.
August 20th to 22nd: A finer spell particularly in central and eastern areas, where further very warm afternoons are expected. It may feel slightly fresher though at least for a time, with top temperatures 23 to 26C in the east and south and 18 to 22C in the north and west. The nights will remain very mild, with minimum temperatures mostly in the range 13 to 17C.
August 23rd to 26th: Warm and humid in the east and south at first, but more generally unsettled and somewhat cooler later. There will be occasional rain or showers giving heavier bursts, with a risk of thunder mostly at first. Maximum temperatures could be 17 to 26C falling to 15 to 20C, but the nights should remain very mild with minimum values say 11 to 16C.
August 27th to September 1st: Perhaps briefly finer, otherwise a west/east split. Mostly unsettled over Ireland and in the west with occasional rain but quite warm then cooler by month end. In central and eastern areas it should become humid again, with occasional spells of very warm sunshine. It will not be entirely settled though with the risk of showers some heavy giving thunder particularly towards month end. By the turn of the month, it should have become somewhat cooler and fresher everywhere. Top temperatures say 16 to 19C in the north and west and 20 to 26C in the east and south, falling to 19 to 23C later. Further very mild humid at first nights are likely, with minimum values in the range 10 to 16C.
September 2nd to 5th: A finer mainly dry interval seems likely, with central, southern and some eastern areas perhaps becoming very warm again. Eastern coastal counties however may be misty at times later and somewhat cooler, with early morning fog patches elsewhere giving a touch of autumn. Top temperatures could be 17 to 24C, with more mild nights giving minimum values between say 9 and 15C.
September 6th to 10th: A real mixed bag of warm probably hazy sunny intervals and rather dull, misty weather. It should also be unsettled with sporadic bursts of rain, locally heavy giving thunder. It may still be humid in southern and some central parts for a while, but it should eventually turn somewhat cooler and fresher in most areas. Maximum temperatures should be 15 to 17C in the north and about 19 to 22C in the south. The nights should continue to be mild, with minimum values say 9 to 14C.
September 11th to 15th: Perhaps briefly finer but fresher, then the brightest weather should be over Scotland and in the west where it could become mainly dry. The east and south may be unsettled more cloudy and breezier with showers. Here bursts of heavy even torrential rain are possible later perhaps with local flooding in gusty winds, although this seems more likely over France and central Europe. It should be somewhat cooler, with top temperatures say 13 to 18C and minimum values 7 to 13C.
